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Юрий FT

Модератор
CAD

:downtrend: 80% вниз 20% вбок.

С технической точки зрения ближайшая поддержка по канадцу 0.8278.
 

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MDunleavy

Активный участник
Чтобы не начинать новой темы.
--------------------------------------------
Не всё потеряно для австралийского доллара, полагаю, что восходящая коррекция себя ещё не исчерпала. Предполагаю рост в среднесрочном плане.
Trade Idea: AUD/JPY - Buy Stop at 77.00;Target: 81.50 ; Stop: 76.00.
===============================================================
After reaching its highest level in the last week, the AUD rebounded at its resistance around 77.36. The currency pair has begun its bearish trend in the middle of May. Now it could be that the AUD will continue its downfall. Next support to stop the trend is may be around 75.46. Nevertheless, I think need to buy!

"P&F AUDJPY1440 Box Size 175X3 or(6.44%) HI/LO
Data 107.86 - 55.11 ~ 33 Month ~ 1015 Day
Database 720 records 76.839 (Last Close)
2007-08-20 00~00
2010-05-31 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_152grsnq5c3 BJF Trading Group chart"


_http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/201005/BJF-Trading-Group-AudJpy0105.xls BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
 

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Trade Idea: AUD/CAD - Sell Limit at 0.8790; Target: 0.8560 ; Stop: 0.8840.
==========================================================================
The AUD/CAD has been trading close to a bearish trend-line since the beginning of 2010 and boosted
this trend in May once again. But it fell to a multi month low yesterday at 0.8668. Now it seems
that the currency pair may try to build a basement around this level. The CCI recovered near its -
100 level and the RSI indicator may suggest an oversold market adding signs that the bulls could
try to cross the stronger bearish trend-line.

"P&F AUDCAD1440 Box Size 10X4 or(4.52%) HI/LO
Data 1.055 - 0.7164 ~ 92 Month ~ 2795 Day
Database 2000 records 0.87781 (Last Close)
2002-10-09 00~00
2010-06-04 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://iticsoftware.com BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

1.0500|~1OO||______+_______________________________________________________________|0.47%|46.57%
1.0400|~2OO||______x_o_____________________________________________________________|1.42%|45.17%
1.0300|~3OO||______x_o_+___________________________________________________________|2.37%|43.77%
1.0200|~4OO||______x_o_x_+_________________________________________________________|3.32%|42.38%
1.0100|~5OO||______x_o_x_o_+_______________________________________________________|4.27%|40.98%
1.0000|~6OO||______x_o_x_o___+_____________________________________________+_______|5.21%|39.59%
0.9900|~7OO||______x_o_x_o_____+___________+_______________________________x_+_____|6.16%|38.19%
0.9800|~8OO||______x_o_x_o_x___x_+_________x_+_____________________________x_o_+___|7.11%|36.8%
0.9700|~9OO||______x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_+_______x_o_+___________________________x_o___+_|8.06%|35.4%
0.9600|~1OOO|______x_o___o_x_o_x_o___+_____x_o___+_________________________x_o_x___|9%|34%
0.9500|~11OO|______x_____o_x_o_x_o_x___+___x_o_____+_______________________x_o_x_o_|9.95%|32.61%
0.9400|~12OO|______x_____o_x_o___o_x_o___+_x_o_______+_____________________x_o_x_o_|10.9%|31.21%
0.9300|~13OO|__x___x_____o_x_____o_x_o_____x_o_________+_______________x___x_o_x_o_|11.85%|29.82%
0.9200|~14OO|__x_o_x_____o_x_____o_x_o_x___x_o___________+_____________x_o_x_o___o_|12.8%|28.42%
0.9100|~15OO|__x_o_x___+_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_____________+___________x_o_x_____o_|13.74%|27.02%
0.9000|~16OO|__x_o_x_+___o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_______________+_________x_o_x_____o_|14.69%|25.63%
0.8900|~17OO|__x_o_x_____o_______o_x_o_x_o_x_o_________________+_______x_o_x_____o_|15.64%|24.23%
0.8800|~18OO|o_x_o_______________o_x_o___o_x_o_x_________________+_____x_o_______o_|16.59%|22.84%
0.8700|~19OO|o_x_________________o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_________________+___x_________o_|17.54%|21.44%
0.8600|~2OOO|+___________________o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_________________x_+_x___________|18.48%|20.04%
0.8500|~21OO|____________________o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_________________x_o_x___________|19.43%|18.65%
0.8400|~22OO|____________________o_x_____o_x_o___o_________x_______x_o_x___________|20.38%|17.25%
0.8300|~23OO|____________________o_x_____o_______o_________x_o_x___x_o_x_________+_|21.33%|15.86%
0.8200|~24OO|____________________o_______________o_____x___x_o_x_o_x_o_x_______+___|22.27%|14.46%
0.8100|~25OO|____________________________________o_____x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_____+_____|23.22%|13.07%
0.8000|~26OO|____________________________________o_x___x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x___+_______|24.17%|11.67%
0.7900|~27OO|____________________________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o___o_x_+_________|25.12%|10.27%
0.7800|~28OO|____________________________________o_x_o_x_o___o_x_____o_+___________|26.07%|8.88%
0.7700|~29OO|____________________________________o_x_o_x_____o_______+_____________|27.01%|7.48%
0.7600|~3OOO|____________________________________o_x_o_____+_______________________|27.96%|6.09%
0.7500|~31OO|____________________________________o_x_____+_________________________|28.91%|4.69%
0.7400|~32OO|____________________________________o_x___+___________________________|29.86%|3.29%
0.7300|~33OO|____________________________________o_x_+_____________________________|30.81%|1.9%
0.7200|~34OO|____________________________________o_+_______________________________|31.75%|0.5%
0.7100|~35OO|____________________________________+_________________________________|32.7%|-0.89%
Column|||||||2_7_5_1_9_6_1_9_4_4_1_1_7_4_9_1_1_4_1_8_4_6_4_6_7_6_4_7_8_1_5_1_7_4_9_|
Count||||||||______6_____3_______6_3_______5_4___6_____________________5___1_______|




_http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/201005/BJF-Trading-Group-AudCad0605.xls BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
 

MDunleavy

Активный участник
First.
Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Buy Limit at 1.2100; Target: 1.2250; Stop: 1.2025.
Then.
Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell Limit at 1.2250; Target: 1.1650 ; Stop: 1.2325.

The EUR/USD finally broke below the triangle, but did so after two false breakouts. The pair
has moved higher after putting in lows below 1.1900. The week was closed out with the EUR/USD
at 1.2110. The resistance comes in at 1.2150-1.2200. This is the former support level which
created the triangle (see chart at bottom). If that resistance band hold, expect continued
selling pressure. Support comes in at 1.2050, 1.1950 and 1.1875. Penetration of the recent
low at 1.1875 has a target of 1.1650.

"P&F EURUSD10080 Box Size 250X3 or(6.18%) HI/LO
Data 1.6038 - 0.8225 ~ 152 Month ~ 4627 Day
Database 662 records 1.21112 (Last Close)
1997-10-05 00~00
2010-06-06 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#EURUSD10080 BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

1.6000|~25O||______________________x_+_________________|0.24%|94.53%
1.5750|~5OO||______________________x_o_+_______________|1.8%|91.49%
1.5500|~75O||______________________x_o___+_____________|3.35%|88.45%
1.5250|~1OOO|______________________x_o_____+_______+___|4.91%|85.41%
1.5000|~125O|______________________x_o_______+_____x_+_|6.47%|82.37%
1.4750|~15OO|______________________x_o_x_______+___x_o_|8.03%|79.33%
1.4500|~175O|______________________x_o_x_o_____x_+_x_o_|9.59%|76.29%
1.4250|~2OOO|______________________x_o_x_o_____x_o_x_o_|11.15%|73.25%
1.4000|~225O|______________________x_o___o_____x_o_x_o_|12.71%|70.21%
1.3750|~25OO|______________________x_____o_____x_o_x_o_|14.27%|67.17%
1.3500|~275O|__________________x___x_____o_____x_o_x_o_|15.82%|64.13%
1.3250|~3OOO|__________________x_o_x_____o_x___x_o_x_o_|17.38%|61.09%
1.3000|~325O|__________________x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|18.94%|58.05%
1.2750|~35OO|______________x___x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|20.5%|55.02%
1.2500|~375O|______________x_o_x_o_x_____o___o___o___o_|22.06%|51.98%
1.2250|~4OOO|__x___________x_o_x_o_x_______________+_o_|23.62%|48.94%
1.2000|~425O|__x_o_________x_o___o_x_____________+___o_|25.18%|45.9%
1.1750|~45OO|==x=o=====x===x=====o=============+=====+=|26.74%|42.86%
1.1500|~475O|__x_o_____x_o_x_________________+_________|28.3%|39.82%
1.1250|~5OOO|o_x_o_____x_o_x_______________+___________|29.85%|36.78%
1.1000|~525O|o_x_o_____x_o_______________+_____________|31.41%|33.74%
1.0750|~55OO|o___o_____x_______________+_______________|32.97%|30.7%
1.0500|~575O|____o_____x_____________+_________________|34.53%|27.66%
1.0250|~6OOO|____o_____x___________+___________________|36.09%|24.62%
1.0000|~625O|____o_____x_________+_____________________|37.65%|21.58%
0.9750|~65OO|____o_____x_______+_______________________|39.21%|18.54%
0.9500|~675O|____o_x___x_____+_________________________|40.77%|15.5%
0.9250|~7OOO|____o_x_o_x___+___________________________|42.32%|12.46%
0.9000|~725O|____o_x_o_x_+_____________________________|43.88%|9.42%
0.8750|~75OO|____o_x_o_x_______________________________|45.44%|6.38%
0.8500|~775O|____o_x_o_________________________________|47%|3.34%
0.8250|~8OOO|____o_+___________________________________|48.56%|0.3%
0.8000|~825O|____+_____________________________________|50.12%|-2.74%
Column|||||||3_6_1_5_4_1_3_7_3_6_7_1_8_3_9_3_3_8_8_1_1_|
Count||||||||____6_____3___________7_______________O_2_|



_http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/201005/BJF-Trading-Group-EurUsd0613.xls BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
 

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Trade Idea: EUR/JPY - Buy Stop at 111.60; Target: 115.20 ; Stop: 110.40.
As the single currency has rallied last Friday on risk appetite after Friday’s release of stronger-than-expected U.S. data, adding credence to our view that wave 5 has ended at 108.06 earlier and consolidation with upside bias remains for retracement of recent decline to 113.40/50 and later towards 114.16, which is likely to hold on first testing.

"P&F EURJPY10080 Box Size30X4 or(8.66%) HI/LO
Data 188.22 - 88.87 ~ 241 Month ~ 7343 Day
Database 1050 records 112.468 (Last Close)
1990-05-06 00~00
2010-06-13 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#EURJPY10080 BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"


_http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/201005/BJF-Trading-Group-EurJpy0615.xls BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
 

MDunleavy

Активный участник
интересно ... что это за тип анализа такой ... ?
Ничего особенного, нового или революционного...Цифро - пунктовый ( или пунктовой не знаю
как правильно) график образца 19 века крестики-нолики (Point and Figure) в современной
интерпретации.

Как и любое направление исследований имеет свои преимущества и недостатки. Преимущество -
простота построения в Excel, возможность построения в любом текстовом редакторе. Сам график это
и индикатор тоже, так сказать всё в одном стакане.:)

Одним из недостатков можно назвать сложность в построении автоматизированных торговых
систем. Хотя есть одна компания, которая создала "переходник":) для непосредственной торговли
из Excel , но весьма непривычно торгуется через это "устройство".

В сети материалов на эту тему предостаточно, если и есть что обсуждать, то наверное какие-
то конкретные моменты, там к примеру размер box'a или составление графика по close или high\low.

Это евро за месяц, хорошо виден пробой трендовой линии если размер box - 25 пунктов.
Сопротивление на 24,50 тоже хорошо видно.

Если у Вас проявится повышенный интерес к этой теме вышлю имеющиеся у меня обзорные и прочие материалы.

"P&F EURUSD15 Box Size 25X3 or(0.61%) HI/LO
Data 1.2671 - 1.1876 ~ 1 Month ~ 29.02 Day
Database 2003 records 1.23755 (Last Close)
2010-05-20 12~45
2010-06-18 13~15 (GMT+01:00) Paris
MDunleavychart"

1.2675|~25|||________+_____________________________________________________|-0.03%|6.73%
1.2650|~5O|||________x_+___________________________________________________|0.17%|6.52%
1.2625|~75|||________x_o_+_________________________________________________|0.36%|6.31%
1.2600|~1OO||________x_o___+_______________________________________________|0.56%|6.1%
1.2575|~125||____x___x_o_x___+_____________________________________________|0.76%|5.89%
1.2550|~15O||____x_o_x_o_x_o___+___________________________________________|0.95%|5.68%
1.2525|~175||____x_o_x_o_x_o_____+_________________________________________|1.15%|5.46%
1.2500|~2OO||____x_o_x_o_x_o_______+_______________________________________|1.35%|5.25%
1.2475|~225||____x_o___o___o_________+___+_________________________________|1.55%|5.04%
1.2450|~25O||====x=========o===========+=x=+===============================|1.74%|4.83%
1.2425|~275||____x_________o_____________x_o_+___________________________+_|1.94%|4.62%
1.2400|~3OO||____x_______+_o_____________x_o___+_________________________x_|2.14%|4.41%
1.2375|~325||x___x_____+___o_x_______x___x_o_____+___________________+___x_|2.34%|4.2%
1.2350|~35O||x_o_x___+_____o_x_o_____x_o_x_o_______+_________________x_+_x_|2.53%|3.99%
1.2325|~375||__o_x_+_______o_x_o_x___x_o_x_o_x___x___+_______________x_o_x_|2.73%|3.78%
1.2300|~4OO||__o_+_________o_x_o_x_o_x_o___o_x_o_x_o___+_____________x_o_x_|2.93%|3.57%
1.2275|~425||__+___________o_x_o_x_o_x___+_o_x_o_x_o_____+_______x___x_o_x_|3.13%|3.36%
1.2250|~45O||______________o_x_o_x_o_x_+___o_x_o_x_o_______+_____x_o_x_o___|3.32%|3.15%
1.2225|~475||______________o_x_o_x_o_+_____o_x_o_x_o_________+___x_o_x_____|3.52%|2.94%
1.2200|~5OO||______________o___o_x_+_______o_x_o_x_o___________+_x_o_x_____|3.72%|2.73%
1.2175|~525||__________________o_+_________o_x_o___o_____________x_o_______|3.91%|2.52%
1.2150|~55O||__________________+___________o_x_____o_________x___x_______+_|4.11%|2.31%
1.2125|~575||______________________________o_______o_________x_o_x_____+___|4.31%|2.1%
1.2100|~6OO||______________________________________o_________x_o_x___+_____|4.51%|1.89%
1.2075|~625||______________________________________o_________x_o_x_+_______|4.7%|1.68%
1.2050|~65O||______________________________________o_____x___x_o_+_________|4.9%|1.47%
1.2025|~675||______________________________________o_____x_o_x_+___________|5.1%|1.25%
1.2000|~7OO||______________________________________o_x___x_o_x_____________|5.3%|1.04%
1.1975|~725||______________________________________o_x_o_x_o_______________|5.49%|0.83%
1.1950|~75O||______________________________________o_x_o_x_________________|5.69%|0.62%
1.1925|~775||______________________________________o_x_o___________________|5.89%|0.41%
1.1900|~8OO||______________________________________o_+_____________________|6.08%|0.2%
1.1875|~825||______________________________________+_______________________|6.28%|-0.01%
Column|||||||2_3_1_4_7_7_4_1_7_8_6_4_6_3_6_1_8_6_6_1_4_3_5_3_7_4_9_4_7_4_6_|
Count||||||||____1_________5_______________3_______7_______________________|
 

MDunleavy

Активный участник
How you can see, the AUD/CHF has been moving along two horizontal levels around 0.9855 and 0.9575. After touching the resistance level at June 14th, the pair pulled down and reached the support line around 0.9575. While the RSI indicator has reached the level at 30, we might expect a pull-back towards the resistance level around 0.9855.

"P&F AUDCHF10080 Box Size 1750X5 or(9.13%) HI/LO
Data 1.2232 - 0.6929 ~ 236 Month ~ 7182 Day
Database 1027 records 0.97252 (Last Close)
1990-10-21 00~00
2010-06-20 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_https://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#AUDCHF10080 BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

1.2250|~175||__+_____________________________________________________________|-0.15%|76.79%
1.2075|~35O||__x_+___________________________________________________________|1.28%|74.27%
1.1900|~525||__x_o_x___________________+_____________________________________|2.71%|71.74%
1.1725|~7OO||__x_o_x_o_________________x_+___________________________________|4.14%|69.22%
1.1550|~875||__x_o_x_o_+_______________x_o_+_________________________________|5.58%|66.69%
1.1375|~1O5O|__x_o_x_o___+_____________x_o___+_______________________________|7.01%|64.17%
1.1200|~1225|__x_o_x_o_____+___________x_o_____+_____________________________|8.44%|61.64%
1.1025|~14OO|__x_o_x_o_______+_________x_o_______+___________________________|9.87%|59.11%
1.0850|~1575|__x_o_x_o_x_______+_______x_o_________+_______________+_________|11.3%|56.59%
1.0675|~175O|__x_o_x_o_x_o_____x_+_____x_o_____x_____+_________x___x_+_______|12.73%|54.06%
1.0500|~1925|__x_o_x_o_x_o_x___x_o_+___x_o_x___x_o_____+_______x_o_x_o_+_____|14.16%|51.54%
1.0325|~21OO|__x_o___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_+_x_o_x_o_x_o_______+_____x_o_x_o___+___|15.59%|49.01%
1.0150|~2275|__x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_________+___x_o_x_o_____x_|17.02%|46.49%
0.9975|~245O|__x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o___________+_x_o_x_o_x___x_|18.45%|43.96%
0.9800|~2625|o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_________x___x_o_x_o_x_o_x_|19.88%|41.43%
0.9625|~28OO|o_______o_x_o___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_________x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_|21.31%|38.91%
0.9450|~2975|________o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o___o_x_______x_o_x_o___o_x_o_x_|22.74%|36.38%
0.9275|~315O|________o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_____x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_|24.17%|33.86%
0.9100|~3325|________o_x_____o___o___o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_____x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_|25.6%|31.33%
0.8925|~35OO|________o_______________o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_x___x_o_x_____o___o_x_|27.04%|28.81%
0.8750|~3675|________________________o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x___+_____o_x_|28.47%|26.28%
0.8575|~385O|________________________o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o___+_______o_x_|29.9%|23.76%
0.8400|~4O25|________________________o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x___+_________o_x_|31.33%|21.23%
0.8225|~42OO|________________________o_x_o_x_____o___o_x_o_x_+___________o_x_|32.76%|18.7%
0.8050|~4375|________________________o___o___________o_x_o_x_____________o_x_|34.19%|16.18%
0.7875|~455O|________________________________________o_x_o_______________o_x_|35.62%|13.65%
0.7700|~4725|________________________________________o_+_________________o_x_|37.05%|11.13%
0.7525|~49OO|________________________________________+___________________o_x_|38.48%|8.6%
0.7350|~5O75|____________________________________________________________o_x_|39.91%|6.08%
0.7175|~525O|____________________________________________________________o_x_|41.34%|3.55%
0.7000|~5425|____________________________________________________________o_+_|42.77%|1.02%
0.6825|~56OO|____________________________________________________________+___|44.2%|-1.5%
Column|||||||2_1_1_9_1_1_7_5_8_9_9_7_1_2_2_1_6_7_1_7_1_7_6_1_7_1_7_7_1_6_1_1_|
Count||||||||__4_O___7_1_____________3_1_1_4_____4___O_____1___2_____O___7_8_|



http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/201005/BJF-Trading-Group-AudChf0621.xls"]BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
 

MDunleavy

Активный участник
This pair fell to new lows this week. Prices eventually found temporary support from the trend-line for the rally up from the November ’09 lows and the lower channel line of the 4th of June descent. There are some bullish signs including momentum diverging bullishly and the Elliot wave count is showing a possible start of a small 4th wave although more upside is required to confirm. If this is the case the market may rise slowly over the next week to 90.50, which is also the lower border of the Ichimoku cloud.
A break lower, however, could lead to 87.00, the point and figure target down and also the old support lows from the ‘08/’09 bottom. They may also pause on the way down at a support at 88.17.

"P&F USDJPY10080 Box Size60X3 or(10.05%) HI/LO
Data 278.31 - 79.75 ~ 389 Month ~ 11858 Day
Database 1695 records 89.223 (Last Close)
1978-01-01 00~00
2010-06-20 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#USDJPY10080
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

282.00|~6OO||____________+___________________________|-1.33%|253.61%
276.00|~12OO|____________x_+_________________________|0.83%|246.08%
270.00|~18OO|____________x_o_+_______________________|2.99%|238.56%
264.00|~24OO|____________x_o___+_____________________|5.14%|231.03%
258.00|~3OOO|____x_______x_o_____x___________________|7.3%|223.51%
252.00|~36OO|____x_o_____x_o_____x_o_________________|9.45%|215.99%
246.00|~42OO|____x_o_x___x_o_x___x_o_+_______________|11.61%|208.46%
240.00|~48OO|____x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o___+_____________|13.77%|200.94%
234.00|~54OO|__o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_____+___________|15.92%|193.42%
228.00|~6OOO|__o_x_o_x_o_x_o___o_+_o_______+_________|18.08%|185.89%
222.00|~66OO|__o_x_o_x_o_x_____+___o_________+_______|20.23%|178.37%
216.00|~72OO|__o_x_o_x_o_____+_____o___________+_____|22.39%|170.85%
210.00|~78OO|__o_x_o_x_____+_______o_____________+___|24.54%|163.32%
204.00|~84OO|__o_x_o_____+_________o_______________+_|26.7%|155.8%
198.00|~9OOO|__o_x_____+___________o_________________|28.86%|148.28%
192.00|~96OO|__o_x___+_____________o_________________|31.01%|140.75%
186.0|~1O2OO|__o_x_+_______________o_________________|33.17%|133.23%
180.0|~1O8OO|__o_+_________________o_________________|35.32%|125.71%
174.0|~114OO|__+___________________o_________________|37.48%|118.18%
168.0|~12OOO|______________________o_________________|39.64%|110.66%
162.0|~126OO|______________________o_________________|41.79%|103.13%
156.0|~132OO|______________________o_x_______________|43.95%|95.61%
150.0|~138OO|______________________o_x_o_____________|46.1%|88.09%
144.0|~144OO|______________________o_x_o_x___________|48.26%|80.56%
138.0|~15OOO|______________________o_x_o_x_o_________|50.42%|73.04%
132.0|~156OO|______________________o_x_o_x_o_x_______|52.57%|65.52%
126.0|~162OO|______________________o___o_x_o_x_o_____|54.73%|57.99%
120.0|~168OO|__________________________o_x_o_x_o_x___|56.88%|50.47%
114.0|~174OO|__________________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|59.04%|42.95%
108.0|~18OOO|__________________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|61.19%|35.42%
102.0|~186OO|__________________________o_x_o___o___o_|63.35%|27.9%
96.00|~192OO|__________________________o_x___+_____o_|65.51%|20.38%
90.00|~198OO|__________________________o_x_+_______o_|67.66%|12.85%
84.00|~2O4OO|__________________________o_+_________+_|69.82%|5.33%
78.00|~21OOO|__________________________+_____________|71.97%|-2.19%
Column|||||||O_1_1_9_7_5_1_8_3_3_5_2_5_1_1_7_5_5_3_5_|
Count||||||||__O_3_______O_________2___2_O___________|


BJF-Trading-Group-UsdJpy0626.PNG


BJF-Trading-Group-UsdJpy0626tumb.PNG

BJF-Trading-Group_Excel_Chart
_http://iticsoftware.com/postimages/201005/BJF-Trading-Group-UsdJpy0626.xls
 

MDunleavy

Активный участник
AUD/USD Weekly Outlook
AUD/USD dropped sharply to as low as 0.8315 last week. The break of 0.8549 support suggests that corrective rise from 0.8066 is finished with three waves up to 0.8858, just ahead of 61.8% retracement of 0.9380 to 0.8066 at 0.8878. While some recovery might be seen initially this week, we'd expect upside to be limited well below 0.8858 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 0.8315 will target a test on 0.8066 support next.
The text is written by ActionForex.

"P&F AUDUSD10080 Box Size 20X3 or(8.21%) HI/LO
Data 0.9849 - 0.4773 ~ 252 Month ~ 7686 Day
Database 1099 records 0.84138 (Last Close)
1989-06-11 00~00
2010-06-27 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#AUDUSD10080

0.9800|~2OO||______________________________x_+_______________________|0.5%|105.32%
0.9600|~4OO||______________________________x_o_+___________+_________|2.53%|101.13%
0.9400|~6OO||______________________________x_o___+_________x_+_______|4.56%|96.94%
0.9200|~8OO||__________________________x___x_o_____+_______x_o_x_____|6.59%|92.75%
0.9000|~1OOO|__________________________x_o_x_o_______+_____x_o_x_o___|8.62%|88.56%
0.8800|~12OO|______________________x___x_o_x_o_________+___x_o_x_o_x_|10.65%|84.37%
0.8600|~14OO|__+___________________x_o_x_o___o___________+_x_o___o_x_|12.68%|80.18%
0.8400|~16OO|__x_+_________________x_o_x_____o_____________x_____o_x_|14.71%|75.99%
0.8200|~18OO|__x_o_x_______________x_o_x_____o_____________x_____o___|16.74%|71.8%
0.8000|~2OOO|__x_o_x_o_____x_______x_o_x_____o_____________x_________|18.77%|67.61%
0.7800|~22OO|__x_o_x_o_+___x_o_x___x_o_______o_____________x_________|20.8%|63.42%
0.7600|~24OO|o_x_o_x_o___+_x_o_x_o_x_________o_____________x_________|22.83%|59.23%
0.7400|~26OO|o___o_x_o_____x_o_x_o_x_________o_____________x_______+_|24.87%|55.04%
0.7200|~28OO|____o_x_o_____x_o_x_o___________o_x_______x___x_____+___|26.9%|50.85%
0.7000|~3OOO|____o_x_o_____x_o_x_____________o_x_o_x___x_o_x___+_____|28.93%|46.66%
0.6800|~32OO|____o_x_o_____x_o_______________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_+_______|30.96%|42.47%
0.6600|~34OO|____o___o_x___x_________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_________|32.99%|38.28%
0.6400|~36OO|________o_x_o_x_______________+_o___o_x_o_x_o___________|35.02%|34.09%
0.6200|~38OO|________o_x_o_x_____________+_______o___o_+_____________|37.05%|29.9%
0.6000|~4OOO|________o_x_o_x___________+_____________+_______________|39.08%|25.71%
0.5800|~42OO|________o_x_o_x_________+_______________________________|41.11%|21.52%
0.5600|~44OO|________o___o_x_______+_________________________________|43.14%|17.33%
0.5400|~46OO|____________o_x_____+___________________________________|45.17%|13.14%
0.5200|~48OO|____________o_x___+_____________________________________|47.2%|8.95%
0.5000|~5OOO|____________o_x_+_______________________________________|49.23%|4.76%
0.4800|~52OO|____________o_+_________________________________________|51.26%|0.57%
0.4600|~54OO|____________+___________________________________________|53.29%|-3.62%
Column|||||||2_5_9_8_1_5_9_1_6_5_3_8_5_7_3_6_1_4_5_4_4_5_4_1_4_3_5_3_|
Count||||||||________3_____6_________________7_____________5_________|


bjftradinggroupaudusd07.png

bjftradinggroupaudusd07.png


BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.
 

Вложения

  • 2010-Jul-04_13~30~04.zip
    87,2 КБ · Просмотры: 35

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Предположительно на следующей неделе возможен рост пары новозеландский доллар\доллар США. В целом пара находится в нисходящем движении, однако коррекция от роста 0.4908-0.7633 произошла ( 0.6560 38,2%). И не исключено, что пара может подняться в район 0.7240 и даже выше 0.7360.

The New Zealand Dollar pared the decline from June following a shift in market sentiment, and the high-yielding currency may continue to trend higher over the following week as investors raise their appetite for risk.


"P&F NZDUSD10080 Box Size 150X3 or(7.43%) HI/LO
Data 0.8214 - 0.39 ~ 246 Month ~ 7483 Day
Database 1070 records 0.71037 (Last Close)
1990-01-07 00~00
2010-07-04 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#NZDUSD10080
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

2010jul10125104.png
2010jul10125104tumb.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.
 

Вложения

  • 2010-Jul-10_125104.zip
    362,9 КБ · Просмотры: 21

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Всё же считаю, что должна пара дойти до дна.
The USDCHF attempted to push lower yesterday, bottomed at 1.0452 but closed higher at 1.0524. On h1 chart below we can see price is moving inside a new minor bullish channel indicating upside correction phase but the major bearish scenario remains intact as long as price move inside the major bearish channel. Immediate resistance at 1.0630. Consistent move above that area and violation to the major bearish channel could be a serious threat to the bearish scenario testing 1.0750. On the downside we need a break below 1.0399 to continue the bearish scenario testing 1.0220.The text is written by ActionForex.But I think that will break down.


"P&F USDCHF1 Box Size 3X3 or(0.09%) CLOSE
Data 1.0542 - 1.0454 ~ 0 Month ~ 0.73 Day
Database 1050 records 1.05332 (Last Close)
2010-07-20 14~07
2010-07-21 07~39 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#USDCHF1
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

BJF-Trading-Group-UsdChf-Main.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group-UsdChf-Large.PNG
 

Вложения

  • BJF-Trading-Group-UsdChf-zip.zip
    179,2 КБ · Просмотры: 30

MDunleavy

Активный участник
This week, US data and the European bank stress test results stole most of the headlines. Canada has quietly seen their currency strengthen towards the lower part of its' recent range. Tuesday saw an increase of 25 basis points on their overnight rate. Canadian Retail Sales and Consumer Price Index printed below expectations, but the currency benefited from the stabilization of commodities. While the outlook for future rate hikes is dismal, the Canadian economy is significantly in a better position than the US.Written by FX Solutions.USDCAD strength can continue towards 1.02.

"P&F USDCAD30 Box Size 40X3 or(1.15%) HI/LO
Data 1.0744 - 1.0138 ~ 2 Month ~ 58.98 Day
Database 2048 records 1.03572 (Last Close)
2010-05-25 23~00
2010-07-23 22~30 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_http://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#USDCAD30
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

1.0760|~4O|||+_______________________________|-0.15%|6.14%
1.0720|~8O|||x_o_____________________________|0.22%|5.74%
1.0680|~12O||x_o_+_______________+___________|0.6%|5.35%
1.0640|~16O||__o___+_____x_______x_+_________|0.97%|4.95%
1.0600|~2OO||__o_____+___x_o_____x_o_+_______|1.34%|4.56%
1.0560|~24O||__o_x___x_+_x_o_____x_o_x_+_____|1.71%|4.16%
1.0520|~28O||__o_x_o_x_o_x_o_____x_o_x_o_+___|2.08%|3.77%
1.0480|~32O||__o_x_o_x_o_x_o_____x_o_x_o_x_+_|2.46%|3.37%
1.0440|~36O||__o___o___o_x_o_x___x_o_x_o_x_o_|2.83%|2.98%
1.0400|~4OO||__________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|3.2%|2.58%
1.0360|~44O||__________o___o_x_o_x_o_x_o___o_|3.57%|2.19%
1.0320|~48O||______________o_x_o___o_x_____V_|3.95%|1.8%
1.0280|~52O||______________o_x_____o_______V_|4.32%|1.4%
1.0240|~56O||______________o_x___+_________V_4.69%|1.01%
1.0200|~6OO||______________o_x_+___________V_5.06%|0.61%
1.0160|~64O||______________o_+_____________V_5.44%|0.22%
1.0120|~68O||______________+_________________|5.81%|-0.18%
Column|~72O||2_8_3_3_3_5_7_1_7_3_8_9_7_5_3_3_|
Count||~76O||______________2_________________|


BJF-Trading-Group-UsdCad0722Mane.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group-UsdCad0722Lage.PNG
 

Вложения

  • BJF-Trading-Group-UsdCad0722.zip
    259,3 КБ · Просмотры: 22

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Gold' fall from 1266.5 resumes by taking out 1175.1 and reaches as slow as 1156.9 so far. Short term outlook will now remain bearish as long as 1203.9 resistance holds and we'd expect deeper decline to 1124.3 support next.

"P&F GOLD30 Box Size $6X3 or(1.49%) HI/LO
Data 1265.02 - 1157.88 ~ 2 Month ~ 62.92 Day
Database 2056 records 1161.33 (Last Close)
2010-05-26 16~00
2010-07-28 14~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
_https://docs.google.com/View?id=dcftkq53_160f5rf86gg#GOLD30
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

1260.00|~6$||__________________x_+_____________|0.4%|8.82%
1254.00|~12$|__________x_o_x_o___o_+___________|0.87%|8.3%
1248.00|~18$|______x___x_o_x_____o___+_________|1.35%|7.78%
1242.00|~24$|______x_o_x_o_x_____o_____+_______|1.82%|7.27%
1236.00|~3O$|______x_o_x_o_x___+_o_______+_____|2.29%|6.75%
1230.00|~36$|______x_o_x_o___+___o_________+___|2.77%|6.23%
1224.00|~42$|__x___x_o_x___+_____o___________+_|3.24%|5.71%
1218.00|~48$|o_x_o_x_o___+_______o_____________|3.72%|5.19%
1212.00|~54$|o_x_o_x___+_________o_____x_______|4.19%|4.67%
1206.00|~6O$|o___o_x_+___________o_x___x_o_____|4.67%|4.16%
1200.00|~66$|____o_+_____________o_x_o_x_o_x___|5.14%|3.64%
1194.00|~72$|____+_______________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|5.61%|3.12%
1188.00|~78$|____________________o___o___o_x_o_|6.09%|2.6%
1182.00|~84$|____________________________o_x_o_|6.56%|2.08%
1176.00|~9O$|____________________________o_+_o_|7.04%|1.56%
1170.00|~96$|____________________________+___o_|7.51%|1.05%
1164.0|~1O2$|________________________________oV|7.99%|0.53%
1158.0|~1O8$|________________________________oV|8.46%|0.01%
1152.0|~114$|________________________________+V|8.93%|-0.51%
Column|||||||3_3_4_8_5_6_5_4_1_1_1_3_3_4_6_4_7V|
Count||||||||____________________2____________V|


BJF-Trading-Group-GOLD0728-Mane.PNG
BJF-Trading-Group-GOLD0728-Large.PNG

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.
 

Вложения

  • BJF-Trading-Group-GOLD0758.zip
    164 КБ · Просмотры: 31

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Возможно коррекционный рост нефти ещё не закончен. Предполагаю тестирование недавних максимумов.

Crude oil edged further higher to 82.97 last week but retreat sharply since then. A temporary top is at least formed and initial bias is neutral this week. We’d continue to seem more retreat below 82.97 first. Nevertheless, note that another rise remains in favor as long as 75.90 support holds. Above 82.97 will target 100% projection of 64.23 to 79.38 from 71.09 at 86.24 next. However, break of 75.9 will be the first signal that whole rebound from 64.23 is finished and will turn focus to 71.09 support for confirmation.The text is written by Oilngold.

"P&F O I L (brent) Box Size $1X3 or(3.71%) CLOSE
Data 91.94 - 69.75 ~ 4 Month ~ 114.67 Day
Database 2000 records 80.33 (Last Close)
2010-04-14 05~00
2010-08-06 21~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
MDunleavy chart"

Код:
92.00|~1OO||__+___________________________________________|-0.07%|31.9%
91.00|~2OO||__x_+_________________________________________|1.02%|30.47%
90.00|~3OO||__x_o_+_______________________________________|2.11%|29.03%
89.00|~4OO||__x_o___+_____________________________________|3.2%|27.6%
88.00|~5OO||o_x_o_____+___________________________________|4.29%|26.16%
87.00|~6OO||o_x_o_______+_________________________________|5.37%|24.73%
86.00|~7OO||o_x_o_________+_______________________________|6.46%|23.3%
85.00|~8OO||o___o___________+_____________________________|7.55%|21.86%
84.00|~9OO||____o_x___________+___________________________|8.64%|20.43%
83.00|~1OOO|____o_x_o___________+_____________________+___|9.72%|19%
82.00|~11OO|____o_x_o_____________+___________________x_+_|10.81%|17.56%
81.00|~12OO|____o_x_o_______________+_________________x_o_|11.9%|16.13%
80.00|~13OO|____o___o_________________x_______________x_o_|12.99%|14.7%
79.00|~14OO|________o_________________x_o_x___________x_o_|14.07%|13.26%
78.00|~15OO|________o_________________x_o_x_o_____x___x___|15.16%|11.83%
77.00|~16OO|________o_____________x___x_o_x_o_x___x_o_x___|16.25%|10.39%
76.00|~17OO|________o_____x___x___x_o_x_o___o_x_o_x_o_x_+_|17.34%|8.96%
75.00|~18OO|________o_____x_o_x_o_x_o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_+___|18.43%|7.53%
74.00|~19OO|________o_x___x_o_x_o_x_o_x_____o_x_o___+_____|19.51%|6.09%
73.00|~2OOO|________o_x_o_x_o___o_+_o_x_____o_x___+_______|20.6%|4.66%
72.00|~21OO|________o_x_o_x_____+___o_______o_x_+_________|21.69%|3.23%
71.00|~22OO|________o___o_x___+_____________o_+___________|22.78%|1.79%
70.00|~23OO|____________o_x_+_______________+_____________|23.86%|0.36%
69.00|~24OO|____________o_+_______________________________|24.95%|-1.08%
||||||~25OO|____________+_________________________________|100%|-100%
Column||||||4_6_1_4_1_3_5_7_3_3_3_4_5_8_4_3_8_6_3_4_3_7_3_|
Count|||||||____1___3_____________________________________|

2010-Aug-07_202514Mane.PNG
2010-Aug-07_202703Large.PNG

Excel Chart. Full size attached.
 

Вложения

  • 2010-Aug-08_05~55~02.zip
    25,8 КБ · Просмотры: 20

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Мощнейший за последнее время бросок индекса доллара. Так уж серьёзны намерения американской
валюты? Но в краткосрочно-среднесрочном периоде предполагаю дальнейший рост индекса.
Подробности на графике.

Dollar index has best week in nearly 2 years.
Aug 13 (Reuters) - The dollar on Friday marked its best week against a basket of major
currencies in nearly two years, as worries about the strength of the global economy fed short-
covering and safe-haven demand for the greenback.

The dollar index .DXY, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, rose 3.2
percent this week to 82.943. That was the biggest weekly gain since it rose nearly 5 percent in
the week ended Oct. 26, 2008.

Worries that a slower U.S. economy could cause headwinds for global growth led investors to
sell risky assets and buy dollars as a safe-haven play, traders said

The US Dollar Index rallied off support at 80. Penetration of the descending trendline
indicates that the down-trend is weakening.

"P&F _DXY10080 Box Size20X3 or(6.28%) HI/LO
Data 120.51 - 70.7 ~ 211 Month ~ 6405 Day
Database 916 records 82.92 (Last Close)
1993-01-24 00~00
2010-08-08 00~00 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"

120.0|~2OO||__________________o_x_+_____________________|0.42%|69.73%
118.0|~4OO||____________x___x_o_x_o_+___________________|2.08%|66.9%
116.0|~6OO||____________x_o_x_o_x_o___+_________________|3.74%|64.07%
114.0|~8OO||____________x_o_x_o_x_o_____+_______________|5.4%|61.24%
112.0|~1OOO|____________x_o_x_o___o_______+_____________|7.06%|58.42%
110.0|~12OO|____________x_o_______o_________+___________|8.72%|55.59%
108.0|~14OO|____________x_________o___________+_________|10.38%|52.76%
106.0|~16OO|____________x_________o_____________+_______|12.04%|49.93%
104.0|~18OO|________x___x_________o_______________+_____|13.7%|47.1%
102.0|~2OOO|____x___x_o_x_________o_________________+___|15.36%|44.27%
100.0|~22OO|____x_o_x_o_x_________o___________________+_|17.02%|41.44%
98.00|~24OO|____x_o_x_o_________+_o_x___________________|18.68%|38.61%
96.00|~26OO|x___x_o_x_________+___o_x_o_________________|20.34%|35.79%
94.00|~28OO|x_o_x_o_x_______+_____o_x_o_________________|22%|32.96%
92.00|~3OOO|x_o_x_o_______+_______o___o_x_______________|23.66%|30.13%
90.00|~32OO|x_o_x_______+_____________o_x_o_____________|25.32%|27.3%
88.00|~34OO|__o_x_____+_______________o_x_o_x___x___x___|26.98%|24.47%
86.00|~36OO|__o_x___+_________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|28.64%|21.64%
84.00|~38OO|__o_x_+___________________o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|30.3%|18.81%
82.00|~4OOO|__o_+_____________________o___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|31.96%|15.98%
80.00|~42OO|__+___________________________o_x_o_x_o_x___|33.62%|13.15%
78.00|~44OO|______________________________o_x_o___o_x_+_|35.28%|10.33%
76.00|~46OO|______________________________o_x___+_o_+___|36.93%|7.5%
74.00|~48OO|______________________________o_x_+___+_____|38.59%|4.67%
72.00|~5OOO|______________________________o_+___________|40.25%|1.84%
70.00|~52OO|______________________________+_____________|41.91%|-0.99%
Column||||||4_7_1_5_6_3_1_4_4_5_4_1_3_8_5_1_8_5_5_6_6_3_|
Count|||||||____O_______O_________4_______O_____________|


2010-Aug-14_202458Mane.PNG
2010-Aug-14_203633Large.PNG

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.
 

Вложения

  • 2010-Aug-15_070729.ZIP
    64,6 КБ · Просмотры: 19

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Есть такое предположение, что Япония обеспокоенная ростом своей валюты скоординирует этот процесс. масса публикаций на эту тему. Поэтому в основном исходя из фундаментальный данных рассчитываю на рос валютной пары евро\ена.

Very risky trading idea : EUR/JPY - Buy at 109.20-80; Target: 114.00-60 ; Stop: 108.60.
===============================
EURJPY Outlook

The EURJPY slipped below 109.20 support area yesterday but whipsawed to the upside, topped at
110.42, closed at 110.17 and traded lower earlier today in Asian session around 109.90 at the
time I wrote this comment. Overall we are still in bearish outlook after violation to the
bullish channel but price still trapped in range area between 110.70 – 109.20. We need a
consistent move below 109.20 to continue the bearish pressure testing 108.07 – 107.30 area. On
the upside, break above 110.70 could be a serious threat to the bearish outlook.
(fxinstructor)


"P&F EURJPY30 Box Size 30X4 or(1.08%) HI/LO
Data 114.724 - 107.306 ~ 2 Month ~ 61.15 Day
Database 2054 records 109.712 (Last Close)
2010-06-18 04~00
2010-08-18 07~30 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group MDunleavy chart"


114.60|~3O|||________________________________________x_+_______________|0.11%|6.8%
114.30|~6O|||________________________________________x_o_+_____________|0.37%|6.52%
114.00|~9O|||________________________________________x_o_x_+___________|0.63%|6.24%
113.70|~12O||+_______________________________________x_o_x_o_+_________|0.89%|5.96%
113.40|~15O||x_+_____________________________________x_o_x_o___+_______|1.15%|5.68%
113.10|~18O||x_o_+_______________x___x___x___________x_o_x_o_____+_____|1.42%|5.4%
112.80|~21O||x_o___+_____________x_o_x_o_x_o_x___x___x_o_x_o_______+___|1.68%|5.12%
112.50|~24O||x_o_____+_______x___x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_________+_|1.94%|4.84%
112.20|~27O||x_o_______+_____x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o___o___________|2.2%|4.56%
111.90|~3OO||__o_________+___x_o_x_o___o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_____o___________|2.46%|4.28%
111.60|~33O||__o___________+_x_o_x_____o___o_+_o_x_o_______o___________|2.72%|4%
111.30|~36O||__o_____________x_o_x_________+___o_x_______+_o___________|2.98%|3.72%
111.00|~39O||__o_____________x_o_x_______+_____o_x_____+___o_____x_____|3.25%|3.44%
110.70|~42O||__o_____x___x___x_o_______+_______o_x___+_____o_x___x_o___|3.51%|3.16%
110.40|~45O||__o_____x_o_x_o_x_______+_________o_x_+_______o_x_o_x_o_x_|3.77%|2.88%
110.10|~48O||__o_____x_o_x_o_x_____+___________o_+_________o_x_o_x_o_x_|4.03%|2.6%
109.80|~51O||__o_____x_o_x_o_x___+_____________+___________o_x_o_x_o_x_|4.29%|2.32%
109.50|~54O||__o_____x_o_x_o___+___________________________o___o___o_x_|4.55%|2.04%
109.20|~57O||__o_____x_o_____+_____________________________________o_+_|4.82%|1.77%
108.90|~6OO||__o_x___x_____+_______________________________________+___|5.08%|1.49%
108.60|~63O||__o_x_o_x___+_____________________________________________|5.34%|1.21%
108.30|~66O||__o_x_o_x_+_______________________________________________|5.6%|0.93%
108.00|~69O||__o_x_o_x_________________________________________________|5.86%|0.65%
107.70|~72O||__o_x_o___________________________________________________|6.12%|0.37%
107.40|~75O||__o_+_____________________________________________________|6.38%|0.09%
107.10|~78O||__+_______________________________________________________|6.65%|-0.19%
Column|~81O||5_2_5_4_1_5_5_4_1_6_8_4_4_5_5_5_4_9_9_4_1_8_6_1_4_4_5_6_4_|
Count|~84O|||__O_____O_______O_______________________O_____5___________|


2010-Aug-18_095013Mane.PNG
2010-Aug-18_095013Large.PNG

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.
 

Вложения

  • 2010-Aug-18_114136.zip
    53,3 КБ · Просмотры: 16

MDunleavy

Активный участник
Прогнозы на основе графиков крестики-нолики (P&F charts)

Существуют всё же такие графики. И периодически по спирали, или как там философы поясняют, возникает интерес к пункто-цифровым графикам. И в частности к графикам крестики-нолики (XO) урождённые P&F ( Point and Figure). На forex эти графики не стали модными Но тем не менее как явление возникшее довольно давно достойны изучения.

Для тех кто желает глубже ознакомиться с графиками крестики-нолики в архиве ссылка на скачивание книг Дорси. Это самые известные и часто цитируемые источники. Хотя эти книги есть коммерческое издания ( много воды и информации, которую можно приравнять к рекламе ) в них есть и много ценного. Forex там практически не затронут. В этом,кончено, недостаток. Для прогнозирования на forex, а тажке для построения торговых систем на основе алгоритмов построения графиков P&F эту старую методику визуализации движения цены нужно немного адаптировать к компьютеру и торговле на forex.

mix1.png


P&F(ХО) графики реализованы во многих торговых платформах. Удачная реализация ,на мой взгляд естественно, встречается редко.

В архиве Excel файл с примерами реализации P&F различными программами и торговыми терминалами.

В справочном файле отдной из программ написано о "правильном" алгоритме. Прошу на это обратить внимание.
====================
- крестик (движение вверх) будет построен в том случае, если
цена вошла в зону крестика;
- нолик (движение вниз) будет построен в том случае, если цена
полностью завершила движение в зоне нолика.


В этом случае:

- новый крестик не дает гарантии, что цена доходила до его
верхнего уровня;
- новый нолик не исключает, что цена была некоторое время ниже
его нижнего уровня.

====================

И ещё о точке отсчёта "правильным" будет отсчёт ни с начала и не с окончаyия котировок, а от "естественного" ноля на воображаемой числовой оси. В Excel файле на листе EURUSD1440 правый график как раз иллюстрирует вопрос о "0".

Индикаторов на тему и по мотивам ХО написана тьма. В архиве в Excel файле имеются два бесплатных на мой взгляд самых удачных.

Современная, хотите модная, на сегодня программа для ХО отсутствует. Времена сейчас сильно коммерчески, без успеха на продажу видно никто не хочет тратить время на технологию прошлого века. Даже позапрошлого.

В прикреплённом файле я рассмотрел две "устаревших" программы Bull's-Eye Broker и XLChartPro . У нас теперь так, если программа 5 раз в сутки не обновляется значит устарела. Никому не приходит в голову а может это "Евгений Онегин" или вообще теорема Пифагора.

Конечно во многих терминал представление в виде ХО присутствует для порядка, для ассортимента что ли.

Но я думаю, особенно в связи с широким распространением мобильных устройств, к теме крестиков-ноликов обязательно будет разворот лицом.
_http://img824.imageshack.us/i/links.pdf/
 

Вложения

  • pointandfigure100831.zip
    59,6 КБ · Просмотры: 37

MDunleavy

Активный участник
The Yen opened the last week, on a weak note following an emergency meeting of the Bank of Japan, that announced more liquidity measures. Also the government said that it was planning more stimulus for the economy. A few hours after the Yen not only recovered lost ground but was testing 15-year lows.
Despite improvement in market sentiment and rising government bond yields as the week went by, the USD/JPY did not rise and moved in ranges below 84.60
On Friday, after the NFP report, the pair jumped to 85.20 but reversed sharply and pulled back to 84.20 to finish the week below 84.50.
The dollar broke through primary support at 85.00 and is headed for a test of support at the 1995 low of 80.00 The Bank of Japan threatens to intervene to prevent further appreciation, but there are doubts about the political will to do so. Recovery above 88.00 is unlikely at this stage, but would warn that the down-trend is weakening.
I believe that we can consider the possibility of opening long positions. Details on the chart.

"P&F USDJPY1 Box Size 10X3 or(0.35%) HI/LO
Data 85.894 - 83.666 ~ 0.31 Month ~ 9.02 Day
Database 12000 records 84.297 (Last Close)
2010-08-25 22~24
2010-09-03 22~59 (GMT+01:00) Paris
BJF Trading Group chart"

85.90|~1O|||______+_______________________|-0.01%|2.67%
85.80|~2O|||______x_o_____________________|0.11%|2.55%
85.70|~3O|||______x_o_+___________________|0.23%|2.43%
85.60|~4O|||______x_o___+_________________|0.34%|2.31%
85.50|~5O|||______x_o_____+_______________|0.46%|2.19%
85.40|~6O|||______x_o_______+_____________|0.58%|2.07%
85.30|~7O|||______x_o_________+_______+___|0.69%|1.95%
85.20|~8O|||______x_o___________+_____x_+_|0.81%|1.83%
85.10|~9O|||______x_o_____________+___x_o_|0.92%|1.71%
85.00|~1OO||__x___x_o_______________+_x_o_|1.04%|1.59%
84.90|~11O||__x_o_x_o_________________x_o_|1.16%|1.47%
84.80|~12O||o_x_o_x_o_________________x_o_|1.27%|1.36%
84.70|~13O||o_x_o_x_o_________________x_o_|1.39%|1.24%
84.60|~14O||o_x_o_x_o_____________x___x_o_|1.51%|1.12%
84.50|~15O||o_x_o___o_x___x___x___x_o_x_o_|1.62%|1%
84.40|~16O||o_x_____o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|1.74%|0.88%
84.30|~17O||o_______o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_x_o_|1.86%|0.76%
84.20|~18O||________o_x_o___o_x_o_x_o_x___|1.97%|0.64%
84.10|~19O||________o_______o_x_o_x_o_x___|2.09%|0.52%
84.00|~2OO||________________o_x_o_x_o___+_|2.21%|0.4%
83.90|~21O||________________o___o_x___+___|2.32%|0.28%
83.80|~22O||____________________o_x_+_____|2.44%|0.16%
83.70|~23O||____________________o_+_______|2.55%|0.04%
83.60|~24O||____________________+_________|2.67%|-0.08%
Column||||||6_7_5_1_1_4_3_3_6_6_8_9_6_1_9_|
Count|||||||______3_8_________________2___|


2010sep04145854mane.png
2010sep04145854largetum.png

BJF Trading Group. Excel Chart. Full size attached.
 

Вложения

  • 2010-Sep-04_160400.zip
    53,5 КБ · Просмотры: 16
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