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22.05.2012, 13:55
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[lang=en]The currency pair of USD/CAD 22.05.2012

This currency pair has been in an ascending trend and without reformation trend since 30th April. By considering the daily chart and from the technical point of view we can expect that this trend reform its previous movement. Considering the Hanging Man pattern on 18th May and the next day candle which is a descending candle, on the whole make a descending pattern which is the sign of the fall of the price. Stoch indicator is also in the saturation buying area and it is expected to start is falling movement.

As far as when the resistance level of 1.02400 is not broken we can expect the reformation of the price and its return to the lower price.Right now, most of the buying signals in the smaller timeframes are so risky to be successful because in the daily time frame there is the possibility of the falling of the price.


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23.05.2012, 13:36
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of USD/JPY 23.05.2012


Thus USD/JPY currency pair after reaching the resistance level, which is determined in the picture, reacted well to this level. The candle which is closed on this line has a long shadow which is the sign of defeat of buyers in front of sellers. Right now, this currency pair is surrounded by two supportive and Resistance lines which we can use them in next analyses.Considering that the Stoch indicator is located in saturation area of sell and as far as the bottom price and the important supportive level of 79.000 is not broken, we can expect the ascend of the price. Right now, until we do not see the sign of ascending movement in the time frame of 4 hours, we cannot expect ascend of the price.

The most important supportive and resistance levels:

R2: 80.546

R1: 80.142


S1:79.404

S2:79.000



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23.05.2012, 13:41
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of USD/JPY 23.05.2012


Thus USD/JPY currency pair after reaching the resistance level, which is determined in the picture, reacted well to this level. The candle which is closed on this line has a long shadow which is the sign of defeat of buyers in front of sellers. Right now, this currency pair is surrounded by two supportive and Resistance lines which we can use them in next analyses.Considering that the Stoch indicator is located in saturation area of sell and as far as the bottom price and the important supportive level of 79.000 is not broken, we can expect the ascend of the price. Right now, until we do not see the sign of ascending movement in the time frame of 4 hours, we cannot expect ascend of the price.

The most important supportive and resistance levels:

R2: 80.546

R1: 80.142


S1:79.404

S2:79.000



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28.05.2012, 14:24
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[lang=en]Does the gold ascend during this week?

The gold started falling after reaching the descending trend line which is indicated by the black line on 1st of May. Right now, the price is located in the area of the supporting lines and levels which prevent more falling of the price. This situation is easily understandable by considering the formation of the candles with long below shadows. Right now, until when the green supportive line is not broken, we can expect ascend of the price to the resistance black line, at the first stage, and then to the red resistance line.



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29.05.2012, 13:23
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of GBP/USD 29.05.2012

Right now, the GBP/USD is in the area of supportive levels after its fall on 30th of April. Therefore, the sellers are not any more so sure that this descending trend will continue. As you can see in the below picture, this descending trend and fall was predictable from 30th of April and it was one of the signs of wolf waves which right now, is complete and the price is reached to the determined target.

Currently, the price is located in the saturation area of sell and the stoch indicator confirms this too. Also, the possibility of an ascending cycle is clear in this indicator but because this warning is not in the same way with the weekly time frame, we can consider this warning as a weak ascending reform.

In the area of green tape which is the supportive level of the price, the pattern of Doji is formed which is a good reason for the reverse of the price. But this candle does not have its own confirmation which is ascending candle, however, the dominant trend and movement of the market is descending trend in this situation. Until when the green tape is in the GBP/USD chart, we have the hope of the reform of the previous trend although, it may be a fragile and weak reform.


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30.05.2012, 10:38
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[lang=en]GBP/JPY in a descending channel

Right now, the GBP/JPY is in a descending trend. This trend has been started since 21st of March. Also, the current descending channel of this currency pair prevented more falling three times, but the ascend of the price from this supportive line is fragile and small which is the confirmation of victory of the sellers. Right now, the price reached this supportive line for the third time and the formation of the candles with long bottom shadow is showing that the trader pay close attention to this line.

The third point is the place of facing the price with the channel in the 161.8 Fibonacci level. The price should break and pass this level for more descend. Right now, the price is the saturation area of sell and the price with the RSA indicator is in the divergence state. Divergences are often the sign of reversal trends in the warning charts.

Because the dominated trend of the market is descending trend, buying positions in this currency pair right now carry high risks. It is better to follow the movement of the market with a close analysis of the price in the 1h timeframe. The drawn lines in the 1h time frame are the most important supporting and resisting levels, and until when the blue line is not broken we can hope the reform of the price in this chart.


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31.05.2012, 08:56
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[lang=en]AUD/USD in a descending trend

The AUD/USD currency pair formed a top price on 29th February and started falling, until now this falling movement is considerable. When the price reached the supportive levels, determined in the below picture, on 23rd and 24th of May, it did not have enough power to break the level. Therefore, the sellers were forced to make cash their positions and retreat. Of course this retreat is temporary and the will control the market again. The important point in analyzing of this supportive level is the formation of the long bottom shadow which is a good reason for confirming the importance of this supportive level.

In the daily time frame the price is in the supportive area and the average of 14 days movement plays the role of resistance for the price and forces the price to move to the bottom. Also, the price is closed under the average of 5 days movement which confirms the descending trend of the market.



The possibility of ascend and reform of the price:


Considering the intensity of the descending trend and the signs of the daily time frame, it is so soon to be hopeful about the reform of the price, but considering the next supportive level and formation of an ideal hammer pattern in the 4h time frame, we can expect that, until when this level is not broken and until when a considerable ascending candle forms, there is the possibility of the reform of the price. Stoch indicator, also, is the saturation of the price and there is a good possibility of an ascending cycle.



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01.06.2012, 09:39
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[lang=en]The USD/JPY currency pair 01.06.2012

The USD/JPY is right now is in a descending trend. This trend has been started since 21st of March and had some minor reform of the price since. Right now, this currency pair is located in some important areas of supportive levels which was not enough powerful to pass these areas and therefore, the sellers of this currency pair retreated right now.

As it is determined in the below picture, USD/JPY is located in a descending channel which is stopped on the supportive edge. The other supportive level which empowers the supportive edge of descending channel is the transformative level of the price. This transformative level consists of 3 supportive points and right now is playing the role of a supportive level.The price is in saturation sell form in the 4h time frame and RSI indicator also formed a bottom price and has enough potential to start the ascend movement. Therefore, we can predict that until when the mentioned supportive levels are not broken, the price is able to ascend and reform its previous trend.

The most important supportive and resistance level:

R1: 79.000
S1: 78.230



Written by the technical team of FxGlory Brokerage
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04.06.2012, 09:10
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[lang=en]GBP/ USD 06.04.2012
Reform or ascend of the price or the continuation of descending trend !


The GBP/USD currency pair formed a top price on 30th of April and then started its falling process from there which this falling was without any reform in the daily time frame. Right now, this currency pair is stopped by the important supportive lines and levels and the formation of a candle with a bottom shadow confirms that too. The blue tape in the picture number one consists of some supportive levels from different years. The oldest supportive level belongs to 2010.

Right now, the price in the daily time frame is located in saturation of sell and the stoch indicator confirms it. Also, the price is in the divergence mode, which issues the warning of the reversal of the price.

In the picture number 2 and in the weekly time frame the price is located on the ascending trend’s line. The first bottom price of it is formed in 2009 and the second bottom price is formed in 2010. This is the first test of this supportive line and until when it is not broken; we can expect that the price will ascend from the third point of the trend line.



Written by the technical team of FxGlory Brokerage[/lang]
05.06.2012, 14:22
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of AUD/USD 05.06.2012

AUD/USD currency pair formed daily hammer candle pattern in the beginning days of the June and also issued a bottom price for technical analyzers. The formation of these two hammer patterns empowered the possibility of the reformation of the prices and stop of more descend, after the severe recent descending trend. To confirm this possibility, we need the formation of an ascending candle.

The formed bottom price is in the area of the supportive levels which the seller should have enough power to break it and pass it which is determined with a green tape in the picture. Right now, the price ascended and moved toward the middle line and reached it, after reaching the lower edge of Andrews Pitchfork pattern which has a supporting role.

The RSI indicator shows that the price is in the saturation sell area and has got a good potential for an ascending movement. Also, the price is in divergence mode with this indicator. Therefore, the warning of changing of the movement between the indicator and price is issued. Until when, the green tape is not broken we can expect the reform of the price and ascend of the AUD/USD



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06.06.2012, 14:37
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of USD/CHF 06.06.2012

The USD/CHF currency pair started falling after recording the 0.97698 in its ascending trend. By closing the candle of first of June and by considering the previous candles, the currency pair formed a reversal pattern of Evening Star. This pattern indicates that the ascending trend is stopped and the trend is changing from ascending to descending, which until now, it prevents more ascend in the price.

The price was stopped on the price areas of 0.95970 and 0.95733 in the descending trend. The reason of this pause is the presence of an important supportive area which prevent more descend of the price which you can see this position in the daily frame well. This supportive level is influencing the price, and until when the price does not pass this level, we cannot expect the reversal trend and ascend of the price.

You can see the price in an ascending channel, which has been a good clue for prediction of the price. Right now, it seems that, this channel is broken. When the price passed the blue supportive line again, it returns to the ascending channel. This supportive line plays the role of a resistance line and leads the price to the lower part of the chart.


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07.06.2012, 14:00
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of GBP/USD on 06.07.2012

The GBP/USD starts its severe falling from 30th of April. When the price reached the important area of supportive levels, the falling became weaker and it was stopped on first of June which we talked about it on 4th of June.

As we told in our previous analysis we mentioned that there is the possibility of the reform and ascend of the price on 4th of June and interestingly the price moved according to the theory of reform and ascend of the price. Right now, the price is closed above the average of the movements of 5 days in the daily time frame and there is a good potential of ascend of the price.

Right now, the price is in the resistance of 23.6 Fibonacci which is formed from the falling which starts from 30th of April to 1st of June. This stop of the price is evident in the 4h time frame. All the candle stick patterns in the 4h time frame confirm that the price is reacting to theresistance level of 23.6 Fibonacci which is issuing the warning of a price top and falling of the price.

Right now, the sellers prefer that the price starts its falling trend from this top price and also the Stoch indicator confirm it. The price is now located in the saturation buy area. The price shows a potential of a descending trend in the 4h time frame which is very dangerous for the buyers. If the resistances level of 23.6 breaks, it is the sign of more reforms and ascend of the GBP/USD currency pair.



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08.06.2012, 12:20
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of the GBP/CHF 08.06.2012

The GBP/CHF currency pair started falling and reforming of the price during its ascending trend from the bottom price of 08.10.2011 and after reaching the 1.51000. One of the main reasons of the stopping of the price in this level is the presence of a transformative level during the ascending trend of the price. This transformative level is from 2008 and now plays the role of resistance level. You can see this transformative level in the GBP/CHF weekly chart. Also, it is necessary to mention that, the supportive level of 1.51000 is considered a resistance level too, because of it a simple number.

The prices had stopped from more ascends when it reached the resistance level. Considering the Stoch indicator, there is a good potential of descending trend during the next weeks and until when this resistance level is not broken.

However, in the daily time frame we see another situation. The blue ascending trend’s line, which played its role very well, was broken and moved toward the green ascending trend’s line. At this time, the price has a good potential for ascend from the fourth point of the ascending trend’s line. In the first stage, it moves toward the red descending channel and in the next level moves toward the green resistance line. Until when, the mentioned bottom price is not broken, we can hope ascend of the GBP/CHF currency pair.


Written by the technical team of FxGlory Brokerage[/lang]
11.06.2012, 13:42
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of GBP /USD 06.11.2012

The GBP /USD currency pair is in an ascending trend right now. This trend has started from the green tape which consists of several supportive levels. The currency pair was stopped and started falling when it reached the transformative level during the ascending trend and reforming of the previous movement. This transformative level played the role of a resistance level.

Right now, this resistance level is one of the most resistance levels which the price is obliged to pass it to continue its ascending trend. The price is closed above the average movement of the past 5 days and until when the descending candle is not closed we cannot expect the ascending of the price and important reforms.

As we pointed out in the technical analysis of 06.04.2012, the price is making a third point in the ascending trend line. Right now, this bottom price is formed and there is a weekly ascending candle on the line too. Also, the Stoch indicator is in the saturation area of sell and there is agood potential for formation of an ascending cycle. Until when this ascending trend’s line is not broken, we can hope ascending of the price from the formed third point of ascending trend’s line.

The most important resistance level:


R1=1.55984

R2=1.58000



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12.06.2012, 13:13
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of USD/JPY 06.12.2012

When the price touched the long term descending trend’s line on 15th and 21th of March, it was not able to pass the line. After this, the price started falling which you can see it in the picture. Descend of the prices continued until the transformative line and then it stopped there.

Right now, the descending trend’s line is broken in the daily time frame and the price top of 79.782 is registered and therefore, the warning of the formation of an ascending trend is issued.

There is the possibility of an ascend of the price by considering that an ascending candle is closed on the supportive line and the current ascending cycle of Stoch indicator and the progress of the price toward the descending trend’s line in the weekly chart.

You can see in the 1 and 4 hour time frame a pennant pattern. This pattern is always a pattern which continues the trend and it forms when the market is resting. Right now, the price is falling after reaching the supportive line of the pennant pattern.


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14.06.2012, 07:37
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of CHF/JPY 06.14.2012

The CHF/JPY was stopped during its descending trend when it reached to the old ascending trend’s line on 1st of June. The bottom prices of this currency pair formed on 2008 and 2010. Right now, in the weekly time frame the price reacted to the ascending trend line very well and leaded the price to the upper parts of the chart. Also, the Stoch indicator is in the saturation sell area. Therefore, there is a good possibility of ascending of the price. The drawn green line in the chart is another supportive line which along with the ascending trend’s line played the role of a supportive level.

The price was stopped and formed a candle pattern of Shooting Star, when the price continued its ascend and reached the descending trend’s line, and issued a good warning for the buyers about formation of a top price and ascending trend. This descending trend has prevented the fall of the price for 6 times and played an important role. Considering the possibility of ascend and its potential in the weekly time frame, the price should break the descending tend line and pass it.


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15.06.2012, 16:07
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of AUD/USD 06.15.2012

In our previous technical analysis about AUD/USD on 06.05.2012, we predicted the warning of ascend of the price by considering the technical signs. The price was reached to the resistance Andrew’s Pitchfork pattern in its ascending trend, and therefore the price had a little descend. But, it passes this pattern because of the longing of the buy and locating in the saturation area of sell. Right now, the price is closed above the average of the last 5 days in the daily time frame. We cannot see a strong reason of the descending of the price.

Hypothetically, if the price continues its ascending trend, the most important resistance level will be the drawn descending trend’s line consists of A and C point and it is also the next target of resistance level. Right now, this currency pair is in the ascending trend. Considering the potential of ascend in the weekly time frame (right now, a bottom price is formed in the time frame and the Stoch indicator confirm this ascend) this potential is increasing.


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2012.06.15
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18.06.2012, 15:07
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of gold on 06.18.2012

As we predicted by the technical signs in the charton 05.28.2012 that there was the possibility of ascend of the price and increase of the price, we see this ascend in the chart. the price started its ascend from the third bottom price of supportive level ( determined with the green color) and right now the price reached to the resistance level and descending trend’s line and stopped there. This resistance line has prevented the increase of the price twice and now is doing it for the third time. (By a close reviewing, we will understand that the main reason of this stop on 15th of May was a shorter descending line which consists of 2 top prices of 1st of May and 6th of June)

If the daily candle of today were closed in ascending trend, we would be considered as a broken line. But, if the daily candle were closed in a descending trend and under the line, there would form a top price on the line. Right now, the blue and green supportive levels are the most supportive level which prevent the fall of the price. On the other hand, the red and black lines are important resistance levels.If the price breaks the initial descending trend’s lines, we can expect the ascend of the price from the red descending trend’s line.



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2012.06.18
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19.06.2012, 15:33
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of USD/CHF 06.19.2012

The USD/CHF currency pair after its ascending trend and registering the 0.97691 was stopped and started its fall. Right now, the price formed its descending channel pattern during its fall. You can see this pattern in the 4h time frame.

Right now, the price is stooped by reaching the descending trend’s line and formed a top price. It necessary to mention that, this resistance line has prevented ascend of the price twice. The Stoch indicator is in the saturation buy area and issued the warning of the formation of top price and the falling of the price. until, this formed top price is not broken, we can expect the descend of the price and decrease of the price in the USD/CHF chart.


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2012.06.19
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21.06.2012, 14:07
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[lang=en]Technical analysis of AUDUSD 06.21.2012

We predicted the possibility of an ascending movement and locating in the determined target in our previous analysis on 06.15.2012. Right now, the price reached a very important resistance level, which is a transitive kind, and is stopped there and had a weak falling. The price is in saturation sell area in the daily time frame and also the Stoch indicator confirms this situation. Therefore, there is the possibility of forming top price and a fall in the price, however, the direction of the movement is not the same with the weekly time frame and therefore, the accuracy of this prediction is not confirmed.

The price is closed under the average of the moving of 5 days and right now is reached to the ascending line. This line plays the role of a supporting level for the price. The price should break this line to be able to continue its descending movement. This line is not an ideal supporting line by considering the steep slope of the ascending trend and the potential of a fall in the daily time frame. We expected the descend of the price and reform of the price by considering the daily time frame. Until the formed tip price is not broken, we cannot expect more reform in the price.

AUDUSD,Daily
AUDUSD,H4




FxGlory
2012.06.21
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Последний раз редактировалось FXGLORY; 21.06.2012 в 14:19.
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